Steve, I'd have to ask Amy about that, but I think the chance is 50% for both cases. I don't know how she's handling painted pokemon, however. We'd have to discuss it before I can give you a certain answer.

Here's your egg, J!

-=Pokemon Egg=-
Will hatch into a level 5 female Vulpix.
Moves: Ember, Tail Whip, Dig.
Dig is the bred-on move she gets from Hero.

Please take good care of your baby Vulpix.