Yeah, there's more luck involved than you'd think. I was in a league last year where, after the draft, everyone in the league was talking about the astounding team I'd put together. (It was, in all frankness, the best draft I've ever had.) I took a decent lead in the first twelve weeks or so.

Then two of my best players got seriously injured the week before a doubleheader against my two top rivals, and my star player was ejected in the first quarter of that doubleheader week. Needless to say, I couldn't come back in time, and I ended up with second place despite vastly outscoring all the other teams in the league. Just inopportune timing that was devastating. So yeah, luck is definitely a factor.