Quote Originally Posted by mr_pikachu View Post
In any case, getting back to the election itself, I'm growing ever more anxious to see the early returns on Ohio. That's clearly Romney's easiest route to crack the presidency, although something like an Iowa-Wisconsin tandem would also get him there -- as long as he holds other gains like Florida. That's all very much in question, of course. Looking at the RCP average, Obama currently holds a fairly steady lead around 2% in Ohio.

Now, it's possible that some of the Ohio polls are a little skewed, especially if you're more inclined to trust Rasmussen's call of a tied race (they've had it within 1% since August). But still, Romney hasn't been able to actually take a lead there, which makes you wonder. Unlike the national polls, I haven't seen any real momentum for him in Ohio. He's kept it close, but he hasn't made a lot of progress.
I have to agree I think that the White House goes through Ohio, I would say the polls are tighter if not slightly more in Romney's favor than what we see. If only because of the nationwide polls ( I've seen reports saying Republicans usually do better in Ohio than they do nationally ). Not to mention there has been some serious problems with them, the latest being a D+8 advantage.

Either way we may know this early or.... we may not know for weeks as power outages from the Hurricane could cause states to resort to paper ballots.

One interesting note! There is a possibility that Obama will become the first incumbent to win the electoral college, but lose the popular vote. Such a thing would immediately rob Obama of any mandate, cause more hyper partisanship, and probably turn Obama into a lame duck.