2012 U.S. Presidential Election

[Roy Karrde]

and? that is how the presidential term system operates

Last time I checked no President has offered a Quid Pro Quo on National Security for their reelection, last time anything has come close to this would be Ted Kennedy in 1984.

do you interpret this to mean that obama would somehow totally reverse the current expansion of the missile defense project once the current negotiated silence is over? even though the exact same objections have existed during the recent buildup?

By offering to negotiate from a position of more flexibility ( ie weakness) that is the only conclusion to draw.

what does it matter
either:
1) obama is not reelected and security has been provided in the meantime by the negotiated continuation of the status quo
2) obama is reelected and the same happens until some point at the future when diplomatic negotiations resume. at which point ahmadinejad won't be in power, ground missile defense deployments will still be years away (2015), etc

You assume that it would be two or more years until this happens, Russia clearly sees this as a clear and present danger to them, and as such would be willing to call Obama on this once he is reelected. You also seem to believe that Ahmadinejad is the power in Iran ( He's not ).

premise: russia doesn't invade at the drop of a hat
evidence: russia and georgia were engaged in decades of conflict before the 2008 invasion

Conclusion: The events that led up to the invasion in 2008 were essentially Russia finding a excuse to invade Georgia, ie a drop of a hat.